Which U.S. cities are outpacing national job growth?

most competitive metros

A new report shows the U.S. metropolitan areas outpacing national job growth trends the most and those most falling behind.

…and which ones are falling behind?

A new report from CareerBuilder and Emsi shows which U.S. metropolitan areas are outpacing national job growth trends the most – and which ones are lagging behind.

The report focuses on employment from 2014 to 2015, when total U.S. employment grew 2 percent, and which metros added jobs at a faster pace than the national average and which metros grew at a slower rate (and even lost jobs). Consider Dallas, for example. Had Dallas employment grown at a rate of 2 percent (keeping pace with the national trend), it would have added 67,959 jobs from 2014 to 2015; however, it actually surpassed expectations and added 112,829 jobs.

Below are the metros that exceeded U.S. job growth rates the most – and those that fell behind.

The 10 Metros Exceeding National Growth Trends the Most

MSA

Total Employment in 2015

Jobs added from 2014 to 2015

Jobs expected to be added from 2014 to 2015 based on national job growth

Jobs added that beat the expected job growth (competitive effect)

Percentage of total employment due to the MSA's competitive effect

1. Dallas, TX

3,386,930

112,829

67,959

44,871

1.3%

2. San Jose, CA

1,081,948

60,716

21,197

39,519

3.7%

3. Los Angeles, CA

5,976,673

159,477

120,745

38,732

0.7%

4. Seattle, WA

1,981,802

78,082

39,515

38,567

2.0%

5. Miami, FL

2,476,027

81,842

49,695

32,147

1.3%

6. Atlanta, GA

2,524,482

81,161

50,715

30,466

1.2%

7. Orlando, FL

1,157,932

50,384

22,989

27,395

2.4%

8. San Francisco, CA

2,297,179

69,967

46,229

23,738

1.0%

9. Riverside, CA

1,392,572

50,511

27,857

22,654

1.6%

10. Charlotte, NC

1,127,396

41,390

22,542

18,849

1.7%

The 10 Metros Falling the Furthest Behind National Growth Trends

MSA

Total Employment in 2015

Jobs added from 2014 to 2015

Jobs expected to be added from 2014 to 2015 based on national job growth

Jobs that fell short of expected job growth (competitive effect)

Percentage of total employment due to the MSA's competitive effect

1. Chicago, IL

4,510,903

55,443

92,480

-37,037

-0.8%

2. New York, NY

9,178,982

155,981

187,286

-31,305

-0.3%

3. Philadelphia, PA

2,801,206

30,875

57,502

-26,628

-1.0%

4. New Orleans, LA

564,920

-2,491

11,778

-14,268

-2.5%

5. St. Louis, MO

1,361,406

15,481

27,937

-12,456

-0.9%

6. Richmond, VA

634,910

2,040

13,136

-11,096

-1.8%

7. Virginia Beach, VA

831,542

6,896

17,117

-10,221

-1.2%

8. Cleveland, OH

1,042,972

13,123

21,376

-8,253

-0.8%

9. Tulsa, OK

440,495

2,295

9,096

-6,801

-1.5%

10. Lafayette, LA

223,560

-2,100

4,684

-6,785

-3.0%


In many cases, when a city outpaces national growth trends (or falls behind), it can be attributed to certain factors unique to the local job market. As Matt Ferguson, CareerBuilder CEO, explains:

"Twenty-seven of the top 50 metros outperformed national employment growth from 2014 to 2015, which can have a positive ripple effect on other regional areas.The unique characteristics of their local economies played a large part in their growth, such as the booming tech industry in Silicon Valley or the tourism industry in Orlando. Meanwhile, jobs in the oil and gas industry took a hit, which had a major impact on the cities like Tulsa and Lafayette, which ranked at the bottom of our list."

For more information – and to find out the methodology behind the research – check out the press release from CareerBuilder.